as many people are saying, polymarket wasn’t more accurate than polls in 2020, it got it wrong. less people used it but also less weird money trying to manipulate it

icebreaker.xyz/0xen |
https://gallery.so/Oxen/galleries | https://opensea.io/collection/farcats

still don’t understand what you mean by “got it wrong”.

uspolitics

Polymarket was favoring Trump up to election day in 2020, while polls favored Biden (I remember cus I made $ on it).

It will probably be more accurate now that the liquidity is larger, but there is a strong bias toward republicans in crypto prediction markets.

Alabama had a 85% chance to beat Vanderbilt before Saturday’s game started:

did “polymarket get it wrong”?

i'm remarking about what Elon said, that Polymarket is more accurate than polls, which in 2020 almost all had Biden winning. it was wrong.