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Dan Romero
@dwr.eth
Early voting totals, polls and markets seem to indicate either GOP landslide—or an Election Day collapse (because so many voted early, some GOP voters stay home because of perceived lead, strong turn out from Dems, indpts and dual hate break for Harris). Kalshi at $100M in volume negating “Americans can’t bet” argument. Robinhood launching trading will also add liquidity. Maybe some big trader will take EV+ Kamala 3x bet in size over the weekend.
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Galen
@galen
In 2020 you could still buy ‘trump will be inaugurated’ at 10:1 odds on Polymarket until Jan 20th (14 days after Jan 6th)
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