July pfp
July
@july
Mistaking local maxima for global maxima, or mistaking local minima for global minima, happens way too often. This happens across everything (peak child, global reproduction rates, covid, stock market etc)
3 replies
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37 reactions

kevin j pfp
kevin j
@entropybender
i wonder if humans lived for 1000 years whether the rate of mistake would drop or if the scale of the minima/maxima being considered just changes (e.g. local goes from 1month timeframe to 1year)
1 reply
0 recast
2 reactions

July pfp
July
@july
i'd say no, we're limited by our context window https://warpcast.com/july/0xcd9a6f0b
0 reply
0 recast
1 reaction