If you believe Polymarket is wrong, there’s an opportunity to ~3x your money in just 13 days. 

Annualized IRR of 4,969%

Any sense of how not being able to operate in the US, where the actual voters are, affects this?

Kalshi is a little worse return, but still a 2x+. Legal in the US.

The open web is dead, long live the open web. ⌐◨-◨

Building /warpcast and /farcaster

— gabrielayuso.com

Kalshi is a little worse return, but still a 2x+. Legal in the US.

https://kalshi.com/markets/pres/presidential-elections

Interesting. Wonder why it hasn't captured the attention Polymarket has even though this one is legal in the US.

It just got approved last month. So a bit late to build momentum.

I would expect 2026 mid-terms and 2028 presidential election to be significantly more liquid because of this