skininthegame

this should be an important polymarket event

One observation about Polymarket is that most of the things you can bet on are relatively short-term. The longest term bets I've seen are things like "Will _____ happen in 2025?" It would be interesting to see some longer term bets like 3-5 year or even decade away predictions. "Will _____ happen by 2030?"

i also think there should be an easy way to lock your predictions with a timestamp that you can reveal later whenever you deem fit

good things take time—frictionless experiences—product × strat × ops

I can make four different conflicting predictions and at the end just reveal the one that played out so unless it is something extremely specific, those have little value due to easy gameabilty

agreed, that's a good point — i will think about it