Would have expected significantly more volume on prediction markets this week given they seem the purest play way to make bets on
- rate cuts
- probability of a recession
- almost anything about the tariffs

Investing @variant, writing at https://backoftheenvelope.substack.com/

Think a lot of these can be covered by traditional options and folks willing to risk had heaps of action to leverage into in equities.

Growing veggies for the fine folks of Southeastern Massachusetts, w/ a focus on nutrient quality. Always interested in the evolution of digital payments.  🎩 

Definition not the most direct, yet habits are well formed.

also curious who is “promoting” or expanding mind share around prediction markets on the regular?  Don’t see them on my feed here or on twitter very often.

Most common bringing awareness to them for me might actually be Joe Wiesenthal

certainly provides some exposure, but would argue it's not the most direct way to make bets / predictions about what will happen!