Would have expected significantly more volume on prediction markets this week given they seem the purest play way to make bets on
- rate cuts
- probability of a recession
- almost anything about the tariffs

Investing @variant, writing at https://backoftheenvelope.substack.com/

Growing veggies for the fine folks of Southeastern Massachusetts, w/ a focus on nutrient quality. Always interested in the evolution of digital payments.  🎩 

certainly provides some exposure, but would argue it's not the most direct way to make bets / predictions about what will happen!

Think a lot of these can be covered by traditional options and folks willing to risk had heaps of action to leverage into in equities.

Operator turned investor. Day job in TradFi. Exploring the future of onchain social investing @crossroads.  🟪

Supposedly yesterday was the largest $ amount of retail purchases the equity markets have seen in years!

Good point, I agree.

Could be that rapid shifts in sentiment to extreme fear spook retail and lead to decreased short term appetite for speculation.