No Channel Channel.

politics

A doodler and computerer. I like permissive/permissionless open source, smart contracts, p2p systems, room-scale VR, and NixOS.

shazow.net

Currently: WhatsABI

Oh the epistemological layers! It’s too early in the week for this!

I think it may matter if people (mostly men) are betting based on the information they have available, which is the media they consume (more likely conservative) and the people they listen/talk to (mostly men/conservative).

But wow, wild thought that men might be actually thinking about lack of representation of women.

I'm not sure if it matters, if people are trying to make money rather than express personal opinions.

Could be as likely that men are overcompensating for what they think  women's vote would be because they fear women are underrepresented in polymarket?

it's likely mainly cryptobros who think trump will be better for their bags.

Good point. Though it’s quite possible it’s the institutional/smarter money that’s on Harris, and the dude-heavy retail are their marks.

Also doubting there are serious institutions betting via polymarket. 🤷

agree: men are more likely to use polymarket (probably >85% of users I would guess)

disagree: i dont think that effects polymarket pricing on events with this much volume (>1b USD). at those volumes, institutions will definitely be trading the market and if prices weren't correct before, they will be now.

/ted | exploring the onchain frontier | surfing @ venice, ca | eating @ gjusta / gjelina