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Murtaza Hussain
@mazmhussain
I find that polling and other types of political forecasting have lost meaningful predictive power but for what it’s worth models are showing Kamala Harris narrowing the gap with Trump and potentially moving past him. Trump had a huge advantage in 2016 which is that he was a novel figure. Americans love change, excitement, and the unknown and he fed that sentiment. Harris now ironically enjoys that to a greater degree since unlike Trump she’s never been president before. So despite the fact that she had been an underwhelming VP I would not count her out as a strong POTUS candidate.
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Derek
@badadvicehq
Honestly, it still feels like a frenzy to me. I won't be surprised if she surpasses Trump though.
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