Geopolitics

Not even ten years ago, I flew on a fact-finding mission to Tehran following the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) signature. Everybody I met then was hoping for a brighter future.

Tonight, I’m supposed to fly over Iran and my flight will be re-routed around Iranian airspace as a precautionary measure in anticipation for a retaliatory strike by Tehran. Hope is not part of the vocabulary anymore.

Such a needlessly wasteful tragedy that this region keeps taking one step forward, two steps back

Not even ten years ago, I flew on a fact-finding mission to Tehran following the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) signature. Everybody I met then was hoping for a brighter future.

Tonight, I’m supposed to fly over Iran and my flight will be re-routed around Iranian airspace as a precautionary measure in anticipation for a retaliatory strike by Tehran. Hope is not part of the vocabulary anymore.

Such a needlessly wasteful tragedy that this region keeps taking one step forward, two steps back

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/world/singapore-airlines-sia-scoot-flights-europe-new-york-rerouted-iran-airspace-4522641

PhD in aviation ∩ climate science | Aviator, diver, ETH maxi, nexialist | Host of /diving /ethfinance /eth-staker /geopolitics /science /singapore /thomas

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If we agree that Iran is the major destabilizing force in the region, controlling proxies in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Yemen, then a regime change in Iran might just break the cycle.

An interesting perspective I’ve come across is that the Iranian regime is much weaker than it seems. It’s a historical holdout from the revolution, but it hasn’t renewed its forces nor has it succession planned. So it’s the same bunch of guys who took part in the revolution and got old.

It’s possible, then, that time will do its thing and offer a chance for the Iranian people to finally decide for themselves, after so many decades under either the Shah or the ayatollahs

yeah, it's a real bummer to see how things have changed. just feels like we're stuck in this endless cycle of hope and despair in that region. it’s crazy how quickly things can swing from optimism to fear.  what do you think needs to change to break this cycle?

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Yes, unfortunately all that was short-lived since the US withdrew from the JCPOA in 2018

Do you see any realistic way forward that doesn't involve conflict? I'm not sure that I do, but I do try to always hold out hope for a brighter future.

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Resonate w/ u deeply. Wild how last 10 yrs turn out to be where we are now

What can’t the boomers destroy on their way out

That’s really sad. Just few years ago we flew regularly from Europe to Japan over Russia in a decent time, now if we’re lucky need 20hrs to zig zag around the world. Sad sad sad

very sad indeed. and also stressful and devastating for the super peaceful Iranian people. everyday waking up to a brand new terror.

I am sad for the world.  I just wish that eventually we can come from a place of community.

How was your experience of traveling to Iran? You're here when the weather is perfect and it's more spring than summer.

hopefully Israel & other parties can reach to agreement soon, in the end it's the people there that suffer the most :(