as many people are saying, polymarket wasn’t more accurate than polls in 2020, it got it wrong. less people used it but also less weird money trying to manipulate it

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My hunch is that 'normies' are underrepresented on Polymarket, which skews the bias towards Trump.

human, coder, artist. by day @agora, by night @basedbits. running, reading, coding

If that's the case, then free money for a sophisticated trader.