If you’re a GM, would you take Michael Penix Jr or Bo Nix?

Firmly in the neither camp — both are already 23, so I’d wager the bust rate with either isn’t worth the early draft capital risk.

Director of Data Science, Portland Trail Blazers 🏀📊  •  zachwill.com

Why do you think older = more likely a bust? If anything I’d think it’s the opposite

Aging curves and level of competition played against are two of the best predictors.

Taking chances on old guys in later rounds is totally fine though — but super risky early.

Eh not sure I agree. Plenty of high round picks that end up sitting on the bench until their mid-20s anyways