Technowatermelon. Elder Millenial. Building Farcaster. 

nf.td/varun

Prediction markets as the new polls?

Every Warpcast user has a linked wallet and balance. So you could pin a specific prediction market to the top of a channel, or post in a cast, and allow people to express opinions with microtransactions.

@dwr.eth @v

There'll be prediction market mini-apps in decentralized social that enable frictionless in-feed prediction markets leveraging the distribution of social.

But they won't replace polls altogether; many polls are surveys rather than predictions.

Building Larry, FOSS via @frames, @framesfun /open-frames to help decentralized social win. a16z CSX23. farcasterchannels.com farcaster.id

we'll also see communities participate in these with new mechanisms; communities co-predicting, or prediction markets participation gated by holding an NFT, layering in things like fantasy sports and entertainment

Doing a LOT of research on this theme now. 

One thing found is that prediction markets != decision markets.

Different mechanisms and especially incentives