Hypothetically, would you rather have:

1. AI is not delayed, but the strongest AI, 10 years ahead of everyone else, is in the hands of a single very powerful multinational inter-governmental agency
2. All AI delayed by 10 years

I only thought about this for 2 mins but my gut says  #1.

Public key cryptography was first discovered by GCHQ but Hellman & Diffie came to the same conclusion 5 years later anyways.

My gut says that if a government has some AI that's so strong, the public will come to it sooner than later as well

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But if it the 10 years in this hypothetical is a non-negotiable than option 2 for sure.

i guess i'm just arguing that if the government comes across a key ai innovation, it won't be long before the herd comes to it as well.