Vitalik Buterin
@vitalik.eth
From prediction markets to info finance: https://vitalik.eth.limo/general/2024/11/09/infofinance.html
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Aaron Blaisdell / ittybit 533
@aaronblaisdell
very interesting perspective. I hadn't thought much about the information value of prediction markets until the Bsnkless podcast started discussing them recently. Your article deepens the perspective. I could see them as valuable also in public health, such as whether a Paleo or vegan diet is generally healthier for humans. I know where I'd put my money, but I'd also like to see where the crowd's money falls on this kind of question rather than just "health" agencies.
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Vitalik Buterin
@vitalik.eth
Incidentally, Robin has also written about this topic! https://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/buyhealth.html Could be interesting to try to figure out a more decentralized version of these ideas.
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Aaron Blaisdell / ittybit 533
@aaronblaisdell
btw, I started the Ancestral Health Society in 2011 as an educational non-profit that hosted a (mostly) annual Ancestral Health Symposium providing health education from an evolutionary mismatch perspective. We closed the society this year, but videos of all the talks are publicly available. https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=ancestry+foundation
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Aaron Blaisdell / ittybit 533
@aaronblaisdell
Robin lays out a very interesting approach to aligning incentives for a healthy life. But I think education is really the key here, and prediction markets might be a more cost effective and achievable approach to the incentive problem at the society level that can provide benefits at the individual level.
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