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Polymarket
@polymarket
Trump now leads Kamala by over 21%.
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Satoshi Tomatomoto
@tomato.eth
Very suspicious that the numbers have changed so dramatically in the absence of any political news events.
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Mental Wealth Academy π
@metawavestudio
It's a platform with a right-wing bias and many of the participants aren't even based in the US. It's just gambling.
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Alex Comeau
@alexcomeau
This seems like a huge arbitrage opportunity for Kamala voters if itβs truly inflated and Kamala is going to win
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Satoshi Tomatomoto
@tomato.eth
Technically, Kamala voters aren't allowed to use Polymarket. π It should be an opportunity for anyone who thinks she'll win, regardless of who they want to win. I put the odds at about 50%, since I have no idea how voter turnout is going to be, so I don't see a huge betting opportunity here.
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Mental Wealth Academy π
@metawavestudio
Nobody has an accurate idea thatβs itβs 50/50. It all comes down to charisma, and honestly I donβt think Trump has it anymore, which is why Elon is so desperate for him to win. Heβs practically begging for EV credits and a buddy-pass. Either way, canβt wait for it to be over past 2 years of this have been annoying.
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Alex Comeau
@alexcomeau
Oh I guess itβs banned in the US? Iβm Canadian no horse in the race really just watching πΏ
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