skininthegame

how do i make a market for a question like this:

conditional on trump winning, what will be the gdp per capita in the US for 2027?

bets lock on Nov 4th. if trump doesnt win, everyone gets their money back. otherwise we see what happens in '27.

can @polymarket do this?

building /cabin (cabin.city). founder of LBRY.com, odysee.com, vibe.camp, @farcon. more at grin.io

I feel like it may be difficult to attract capital to a bet that potentially doesn't resolve until 2027. That's a lot of opportunity cost.