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Maretus
@maretus
Here’s how I think things are going to go over the next year or so. Uncertainty brought on by the new tariff policy is going to plunge the U.S. into a recession or put us on the path to one. Markets will bleed the whole time this is happening. Later this year, economic data will push the FED to reduce interest rates, end QT, and maybe start QE. This would give risk assets a huge pump. For awhile. However, I think inflation will remain high and ultimately the FED will have acted too hastily, forcing them to reverse course in 2026. At which point, I expect a prolonged recession or worse. So, in my very retarded opinion - there will be a good opportunity to make money later in the year when the fed pivots. But make your money quick and take profits cause it won’t last for long.
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NationofDegeneration🎩🌿
@tanwenbrantley
I've worked in the manufacturing industry for a very long time and have seen globalization destroy the industry. Have witnessed IP being stolen from customers and produced overseas. I've also seen large customers begin producing overseas to exploit cheap labor. It's diminished the middle class in the US. The tariffs will supposedly spark a manufacturing rennessaince here in the US. It's possible...but I don't see how unless there are SB loans and heavy investment into the sector. Tax breaks for entrepreneurs/businesses in the industry. Now if the new tariffs can fund government, without requiring citizens to pay a higher tax rate. I'm cool with that. There will however be a painful transitional period. As for the stock market.....I say, let it collapse and go through a recalibration. It will create new opportunities for entries and for other businesses to rise. I am perfectly OK with large corporations failing. I'd rather small businesses/individuals get an opportunity to shine.
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