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balajis
@balajis.eth
The greatest strength comes from knowing your own weakness. My overarching thesis is that history is running in reverse. So the countries that had a great 20th century are on track for a tough 21st, and vice versa. For example: China, Russia, India, Eastern Europe were crushed by socialism. Now they are capitalist and unified to varying degrees. So their overall trajectory is up. Meanwhile, Woke America and Western Europe were once capitalist and unified. But now they’re woke with broken borders and bankrupt states. So their overall trajectory is down. Like Dalio and Elon, I believe the coming sovereign debt crisis will end 500 years of Western dominance (and also take down Japan). Failing states will get extremely nasty. I think China rises. I think the Internet succeeds the West, and opposes China. I also think Bitcoin Republicans can maybe turn Florida into a Taiwan equivalent, where capitalists take refuge. But most aren’t ready to hear this. They still think the postwar order will last.
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stringtheory
@stringtheory69
What are examples of ascension in Eastern Europe? how about Africa?
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balajis
@balajis.eth
The Visegrad countries are doing quite well. Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, Czech Republic. They have a memory of communism so aren’t far left. But Russia is nearby so they see the problems of ultranationalist right as well. Cautiously bullish on them.
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