🚀 Today we’re launching Social Predictions! 
Goal: Predict the crowd’s opinion Entry fee: .5 USDC
 If you pick the consensus right answer, you’ll earn a share of the pool. It’s that simple. 
You’ll also get 4 free predictions ($2) if you enable your wallet today. First prediction is in the next cast👇

This is pretty cool - @0xsmallbrain and I worked on a similar idea with the opposite mechanic (the least popular poll option wins the pot). Could also be cool to do it with free text responses + LLM embeddings for measuring consensus

I've been working on a TS client for @indexsupply. Coming soon (or now if you sleuth the GH account)

Indexing Ethereum https://indexsupply.com

Taking a mental health break from Twitter wsp

you probably don’t think about liquidity enough // it is what it is  // build value, not valuation

| 🎩  |  ↑  |  ⌐◨-◨

Would love to have y’all play with it, and especially send it to your normie friends!!

live.tmr.news

eir @Paradigm | TMR.NEWS | Elements.fun | ???????.????

This setup has the benefit of requiring 0 onramping as we can simply sell users additional credits through any old payment provider.

Of course, we can still retain financialization via rewards given to top performers from the credits sale revenue.

This is a new, free to play, version of the original tmr.news that’s meant to explore the question of what if there was 0 barrier to entry.

Users simply log in with twitter and are given 10 free “credits” to play with. Gas is sponsored when they send their txs.

Excited to finally share something I’ve been working on!

I’ve been thinking a lot recently about how to optimize the onboarding for new apps, and think I have a pretty good example:

Check out live.tmr.news

* No wallet needed
* No gas needed
* No crypto needed

someone-build

/new-york by day 🗽 /latenightcrew by night :) Fan of eating tacos and bringing people together, often at the same time 🌮 oh and /untzuntz 😈

If you want to make a detailed Election Day prediction, now’s the time to do it! Only on TMR.NEWS

we've been cooking a small-stakes social game based on our learnings from scoop, and we're running a test game this eve at ~5pm EST

if you're available and would like to test / cook the app reply below and i'll DM u the testflight

I'm happy to share that I've joined @Paradigm as an Entrepreneur in Residence to built the next generation of crypto-enabled applications.

Looking for product-focused shipoholics to join the founding team.

Read more about what I'm cooking:

I'm happy to share that I've joined @Paradigm as an Entrepreneur in Residence to built the next generation of crypto-enabled applications.

Looking for product-focused shipoholics to join the founding team.

Read more about what I'm cooking: https://www.paradigm.xyz/2024/10/joining-paradigm-sofiane

Terminally Onchain

Back in February, I wrote a 4k word deep dive on the history of prediction markets. In the post, I expressed the need for different form factors supporting the long tail of local, community based markets.

"As prediction markets enter the mainstream by demonstrating forecasting accuracy for major upcoming events such as the 2024 elections, there will be more capital to incentivize liquidity for the long tail of local markets.

People naturally care more about events and outcomes directly related to them than general ones. Prediction markets will need better marketing and UX in order for there to be increased participation in markets past national politics and culture."

And with the launch of @0xsmallbrain & @sofiane latest drop tmr.news this week, it's clear we're finally seeing early glimpses of this happening now.

Read the full post here: https://terminallyonchain.xyz/analogmarkets

What if prediction markets were 1000x more expressive?

Today @sofiane and I are launching TMR.NEWS: the first natural language prediction market. Judged by AI & secured by crypto

See tomorrow’s news at TMR.NEWS

I have a new product that is in private beta.

It has a fairly unique architecture that makes it fast, cheap, and easy to do SQL queries over arbitrary events.

Please dm/reply if you are interested in trying it out

Introducing http://elements.fun, an endless crafting game on @base 
 
Combine elements
Earn ETH

A weekend hack with @sofiane

Introducing http://elements.fun, an endless crafting game on @base 
 
Combine elements
Earn ETH

A weekend hack with @sofiane 

https://elements-fun-frames.smallbraindev.workers.dev/elements-fun-mint

PostgreSQL

onchainsummer

4/ MysteryMeme (mystery.meme) 🔎

@0xsmallbrain is brining inside jokes onchain, and he's using the farcaster social graph to make them FUN. Creators upload memes with hidden captions. As users buy the memes, the captions get revealed and the creators get rewarded!