politics

any thoughts on why someone would do this? Just spare change lying around and hoping to influence the outcome?

$45 Mil bet on the elections. Check out Jason's post. Would love to hear your thoughts here. 

- Is it just a big bet? 
- Are there more nefarious forces at work? 
- Something else?

Playing slots, gambling, betting on sports.

Scientist by day, other things at night.

Writing complex and nuanced takes, viewed by few, appreciated by none.

It's a 45m bet on a 2.4B vol market (primary only, not including all other associated markets). But if anyone thinks the odds are wrong, they know where to place their bets.

That’s a huge $45 million bet on the elections! It raises questions:

	1.	Is it just a big bet, or is there more at play?
	2.	Are there nefarious forces involved?
	3.	Could it be part of a strategy to influence political narratives?

Definitely interesting to consider!

I'd guess that the money originated from Putin or similar to try and convince people Trump is popular and to try and help legitimize claims of voter fraud if the results come in close.  I think it's 100% sinister because the path for Trump to collect 270 Electoral College votes is pretty difficult... and based on previous trends he's not winning the popular vote.