Prediction markets resolve to 100% accuracy 100% of the time. They are a perfect truth machine in this regard

Provided that the outcome is accurately defined. 

Defining the markets is pretty nuanced and easy to get wrong. 

Polymarket have had a couple get lost in technicalities.

@operator & /operator | building future.news | BCI, bioinformatics, search, chaos, decentralized AI

lol yea ignoring nuance for the sake of the Post

eh wouldn't say that

that would mean uma is perfect

well so does the world. we're the imperfect observers.

i wanna bet on specific metrics of a company vs buying the stonk

potential for short term bet on rev beat and get outsized return vs holding the stock through earnings and having the broader market impact if i’m “right” or not

I also think prediction markets are very regarded

100% accuracy 100% all the time, you’re defs kidding 😄