Sam Iglesias

@sam

210 Following

99961 Followers

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lol well-observed

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that French guy who was propping up Trump on Polymarket must be drowning in Dom Pérignon right now

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this was an easy bet to ride up on from 60¢ up to 80¢

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ok beyond meat being down is kind of hilarious

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mmm I’m not totally prepared to generalize but with polling/voting stuff I’m pretty confident that betting markets and models going to 50/50 signals deterioration of data of some kind.

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the North Carolina ones are super out of hand

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also lmao retail investors

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anything that tries to assign to assign probability to outcomes related to human decisions is just telling you what the quality of the information is. when I see prediction markets trending towards 50/50 I just take it to mean the information is getting more garbage.

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IF you turn it off, you do it through the system menu. So wtf

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Impressionism—missing the point that the impression of looking at something is just looking at a clear picture of it.

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conversation journals are fun. he’s deaf so you read what the person he’s talking to is saying and have to infer what Beethoven answered

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suspect that towards the end of the Rogan interview Trump forgot Rogan’s name (or was afraid to guess wrong) Insightful discussion tho

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random musing: most of the world’s problems boil down to the problematic nature of sincerity. people are good at faking it, bad at judging it, and for some it might be impossible to have it.

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was it fun fun?

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has anyone done the LA haunted hayride? Any good?

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tbh oversized. might need to go down a size or decide whether it’s my style (leaning it’s not my style!) and respectfully send it back. a lot to appreciate tho in these pieces and the packaging.

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washing instructions are this cartoon

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this is cute. The Moncler x LoveFrom jackets come with little cutouts of the pieces that show how they interlock (and how they’re cut from single pieces of cloth)

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