Can anybody explain why polymarket and predictit sustain such different prices? Finding these differences wildly implausible.

Design and software at Apple. Also into AI, philosophy of mind, ethics.

because prediction markets aren’t actually accurate historically speaking

but they should be the same price. it’s a glaring arbitrage

icebreaker.xyz/0xen |
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Bid no on Kamala where she’s higher, bid yes where she’s lower. Do same with Trump.