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Richard Carback

@rcarback

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49 Followers
Richard Carback pfp
Richard Carback
@rcarback
I'm working on the April 2025 for the Quantum Doom Clock, which you should all subscribe to! Here's some tidbits from last months update: QDC now projects March 8, 2028 as the breaking point for cryptocurrency security. Major quantum systems from Amazon, Microsoft, and IQM show error rates approaching 10^-4, accelerating the timeline by several months. That is some scary fast progress 🤓 Tech leaders are revising quantum timelines dramatically: 🕛 Gates: "useful in 3-5 years." 🕧 Pichai: "practical applications in 5-10 years." 🕐 Krishna: "remarkable progress by decade's end." 🚨 The threat to cryptographic foundations is imminent. 🚨 Major breakthroughs are accelerating development: Amazon's Ocelot, Microsoft's Majorana 1, and massive funding ($400M+) flowing into quantum computing. The clock is ticking for current encryption methods. ⏱️ Visit https://quantumdoomclock.com and sign up to get the latest. Update goes out next week!
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Richard Carback pfp
Richard Carback
@rcarback
new protocol actor names just dropped
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Richard Carback pfp
Richard Carback
@rcarback
I'll be speaking at MIT and Harvard next week at the web3 university tours by one piece labs: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/web3-university-tour-harvard-tickets-1299275019559 https://www.eventbrite.com/e/web3-university-tour-mit-tickets-1299277657449
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Richard Carback pfp
Richard Carback
@rcarback
At the boston farcaster meetup last night (hosted by the wonderful @dbragz.eth ) we got into it on how prediction markets work and how much they can be trusted (imo a lot). Here's a well-timed video explainer that goes over the basics: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ngX1nIvnMOM
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Richard Carback pfp
Richard Carback
@rcarback
My aura's screaming CORAL.
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Richard Carback pfp
Richard Carback
@rcarback
Myself and @cadillion ran the numbers on quantum progress: https://quantumdoomclock.com/ This doesn't yet have Majorana since it's #1, but add a 0 after the . on the p value on the math page and you'll see that MS's estimate of having useful quantum computers in around 3 years is entirely plausible given all the progress.
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Richard Carback
@rcarback
The bitcoin maxis reveling in the bybit hack touting ui supremacy must not do much interesting with their bitcoin 🤦‍♂️ ui/ux issues are everywhere in crypto, even in bitcoin. I am surprised an org with 1b+ wallets couldn't spring for secure interfaces, but maybe the details will tell a different story.
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Richard Carback pfp
Richard Carback
@rcarback
Whenever I get asked about why I am in crypto I go on a rant which makes me look like a conspiracy theorist, so it's really nice to see someone with a legal background explain (part of) the problem. (The other part are the data vampires running the system using it against you). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Zt6y8YuoyM
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Richard Carback
@rcarback
We take privacy for granted
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Richard Carback
@rcarback
Assuming accurate reporting, we all need to condemn the recent arrest of Telegram’s #PavelDurov in France regardless of how you feel about him or Telegram. Refusing to moderate other’s speech is not terrorism. It is not conspiracy to commit a crime. Pavel’s arrest is a stain on the central fraternity between France and the US in supposedly being the world’s defenders of free speech and liberty. France is continuing an unfortunate tradition our governments have of ignoring our values whenever it is convenient. This is both wrong and short sighted. While I understand the “Telegram is not E2EE and gives full access to Russia” sentiment (e.g., https://www.wired.com/story/the-kremlin-has-entered-the-chat/ ), I believe this is an L take. In this context, it is saying if you are capable of moderating then you should be required to do so per government orders.
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Richard Carback pfp
Richard Carback
@rcarback
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2436023-multiple-nations-enact-mysterious-export-controls-on-quantum-computers/ They’re starting to freak out, as they should
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Richard Carback pfp
Richard Carback
@rcarback
Thanks to all who came by and said hi to my team and I at Consensus this year. We had a blast and are stoked to haven taken home the win for the sui track! https://youtu.be/x-OcnymwbOM?feature=shared https://github.com/Consensus-Hold-Em
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Richard Carback
@rcarback
Hi All 👋 , I am here because of @erikudahl over at the boston DAO. I am a cryptographer that focuses on privacy preserving cryptography and cryptographically secured voting & governance systems. Happy to be here!
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