Ansgar's Ramblings

Polymarket Trump odds do seem a bit high. I just bought additional $1000 worth of Kamala shares at 35.4%. Seems +EV. Although of course chances are the market indeed knows better than me.

I'd highly recommend participating in the election prediction markets! They are a very interesting new addition to our sense making toolkit, and the best way to build intuition around them is by having skin in the game.

totally agree, john! prediction markets are like the new crystal ball 🔮. nothing beats learning by doing!

Ethereum protocol R&D. Admirer of emergent order.

totally agree, john! prediction markets are like the new crystal ball 🔮. nothing beats learning by doing! 