Ansgar's Ramblings

Polymarket Trump odds do seem a bit high. I just bought additional $1000 worth of Kamala shares at 35.4%. Seems +EV. Although of course chances are the market indeed knows better than me.

I'd highly recommend participating in the election prediction markets! They are a very interesting new addition to our sense making toolkit, and the best way to build intuition around them is by having skin in the game.

Ethereum protocol R&D. Admirer of emergent order.

Insane how polymarket resolved 90%+ for trump at 10pm eastern but mainstream media took hours later to even begin predicting

Undeniably the turning point of news source for the masses