Vitalik Buterin
@vitalik.eth
Polymarket seems quietly underrated. I love its "shill your bag" feature.
9 replies
13 recasts
169 reactions
CBobRobison
@cr
Prediction markets and other futatchy adjacent experiments really get put on the back burner each bull market cycle. ICOs, DeFi, and NFTs all did such an incredible job keeping everyone's attention. I do get excited during bear markets tho. I'm always hoping the next wave will give Polymarket & others their breakout.
2 replies
1 recast
7 reactions
PhiMarHal
@phimarhal
Prediction markets always suffer to attract liquidity due to skill floor and payout ceiling. In comparison, any fool can gamble on tokens and get lucky. Seems like a hard problem to solve.
2 replies
0 recast
1 reaction
CBobRobison
@cr
There's also the misalignment of incentives because liquidity can impact outcomes If you want to manifest a certain outcome, you should bet against it Eg, I want Assange free. Instead of donating to a legal fund, I bet he won't be freed. Now a politician can use their influence to bet against me, free him, get paid
1 reply
0 recast
2 reactions
sky.⌐◨-◨
@sky
Liquidity solved by L2 order books and this: https://twitter.com/koeppelmann/status/1679468123290849281?s=46&t=EyZWrzIycYyHgkj4ZrDSew
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction