phil on Warpcast

Bryan Johnson pfp

We are transitioning as a species from knowing to not knowing. This change is so jarring, so scary, so unimaginable that 99.9% of people try to solve it with their knowing. They fill the air with words of prediction, ideas and certainties.

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phil pfp

hey - love your stuff, and appreciate the lateral thinking. however, i'm not sure the changes to AI are as meaningful as they're being made out to be compared to the experience of previous technological revolutions. from rumelt: "Compare the changes during your life to those that occurred during the fifty years between 1875 and 1925. During those fifty years, electricity first lit the night and revolutionized factories and homes. In 1880, the trip from Boston to Cambridge and back was a full day’s journey on horseback. Only five years later, the same trip was a twenty-minute ride on an electric streetcar; with the streetcar came commuting and commuter suburbs. Instead of relying on a single giant steam engine or water wheel to power a factory, producers switched to electric motors to bring power into every nook and cranny. The sewing machine put decent clothing within everyone’s reach." (cont)

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phil pfp

(cont) "And electricity powered the telegraph, the telephone, and then the radio, triggering the first significant acceleration in communications since the Roman roads."During that fifty-year period, railroads knit the country together. The automobile came into common use and revolutionized American life. The airplane was invented and commercialized. Modern paved highways were built and agriculture was mechanized. IBM’s first automatic tabulating machine was developed in 1906. A huge wave of immigration changed the face of cities. Modern patterns of advertising, retailing, and consumer branding were developed—hundreds of famous brands, such as Kellogg’s, Hershey’s, Kodak, Coca-Cola, General Electric, Ford, and Hunt’s, date from this era. Most of the foundations of what we now see as the “modern world” were put in place, and great still-standing industrial empires were established. All of this took place in the fifty years between 1875 and 1925."

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