Been experimenting with prediction markets over the past few weeks after being nerd sniped by @davewhite 

Distribution markets let you bet on ANY value and win within a range of your choice

Try it out:

Been experimenting with prediction markets over the past few weeks after being nerd sniped by @davewhite 

Distribution markets let you bet on ANY value and win within a range of your choice

Try it out:

https://www.onit.fun/m/0xd5ccab05c8247f11d4889766dffd9f67f1f6f856

Making investing together better https://onit.chat | Variant Founder Fellow | Cambridge Alum | Formerly Ireland's #3 powerlifter (74kg)

TLDR on how it works:

- Choose any value to bet on

- Choose a confidence level for the bet
 
- If the market resolves in your range share the pot with other winners

Choose your prediction relative to the community median

Set your confidence

Your shares are normally distributed based around your prediction using this value

Your prediction and confidence gives determines your distribution 

This is then discretised into a set of buckets of shares

When the market solves you win if your bucket contains the outcome

All people who held shares in the winning bucket will split the ENTIRE pot

Some tips: 

Early = Good 

A buckets price increases as a more people are buy

High confidence = Win more

Lower confidence will spread your money across more buckets

Controversial = Good

If your guess right and no one else gets it you win EVERYTHING