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Watcher
@watcher
I think new predictions markets will increasingly look to leverage more social context to distinguish themselves from the financial/graph UX of first movers. Predictions are believes and believes are mostly based on social context. The people that understand this will see what comes next.
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pdiddy
@pdiddy
I like the simplicity of a plain token representative of a specific prediction that could be a shorter or longer term event. Token can represent the prediction but also the underlying person / thing. Ie buy plain token for a new artist and let it ride both for a new album release but their long term success Thoughts
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Watcher
@watcher
I like the idea behind it but there is one inherent problem with social tokens / personal tokens. Legal issues aside there is an inherent expectation for return coupled with that person now which makes these things incredibly volatile over the short term. + without resolution ≠ prediction
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