politics

Best argument for why the polls are wrong?

Real clear politics has veered right, wasn’t reliable in 22’
An article in The New York Times said that "top political analysts" raised concerns about RealClearPolitics polling averages influenced by polls skewing towards Trump and not adhering to "best practices like person-to-person phone interviews" during the 2020 presidential elections.

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Nate Silver uses RCP with many other polls in his model. I’ll check the “house effect” but I would bet it’s ranked poorly.
Fwiw their polls are all within the margin of error atm as well