Really didn’t expect this type of vibe shift after the Trump shooting but Harris is now leading in swing states by an amount exceeding the margin of error. 

I take polls with a grain of salt but there does seem to be a shift of momentum since Biden left the race. Were people just tired of Sleepy Joe? I think so — and now Trump has the disadvantage of seeming like the old candidate who is a known commodity. 

The Democratic Party has an incredible talent for screwing things up so I wouldn’t call it over yet. But they have managed to turn the tables at least for the short term.

Writer, podcaster, and commentator on foreign affairs and politics. Runs /dropglobalnews

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There was an intense spike on polymarket favoring Trump after the debate and incident and an equally intense spike favoring Harris after Biden withdrew. Now things have settled down a bit. 538 predicted just before the debate a close race but said that Biden had multiple pathways to victory but Trump very few. In contrast to most recent presidential elections, 538 predicted Trump had to win the popular vote to win the Electoral College Vote. So Harris has the inside track and Trump might have had his moment in the sun, unless he tries to shove her off the track.