In you're in favor of "AI safety" (broad definition), what's your most compelling cast-length argument?

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Atomic, but at least we had some theoretical models based in science. AI safety nerds use imaginary rhetoricals

The models are historical/anthropological. Whenever a higher intelligence species encounters a lower intelligence species, or more advanced civilization encounters a less advanced one, the outcome is predictable.

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That’s not a model. We don’t understand ourselves enough to make a scientific hypothesis