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U.S. officials tell Axios that they expect an Iranian attack on Israel as early as this Monday. The attack will also likely involve proxy groups like Hezbollah and others based in Iraq and Yemen.

The question now will be whether Iran tries to thread a needle of attacking below a threshold that triggers total war or whether they simply aim to inflict maximum damage. As I’ve said before this time they are not engaging in the performative signaling that took place in April where they allowed many of their missiles to be intercepted.

If they aim to inflict damage they will likely target a large number of ballistic missiles at a particular target in Israel to overwhelm the Iron Dome defense batteries. Some Israeli analysts I follow have speculated the Ministry of Defense building in Tel Aviv could be hit.

As a general statement I hope for the safety of civilians on all sides and avoidance of uncontrolled escalation.

U.S. officials tell Axios that they expect an Iranian attack on Israel as early as this Monday. The attack will also likely involve proxy groups like Hezbollah and others based in Iraq and Yemen.

The question now will be whether Iran tries to thread a needle of attacking below a threshold that triggers total war or whether they simply aim to inflict maximum damage. As I’ve said before this time they are not engaging in the performative signaling that took place in April where they allowed many of their missiles to be intercepted.

If they aim to inflict damage they will likely target a large number of ballistic missiles at a particular target in Israel to overwhelm the Iron Dome defense batteries. Some Israeli analysts I follow have speculated the Ministry of Defense building in Tel Aviv could be hit.

As a general statement I hope for the safety of civilians on all sides and avoidance of uncontrolled escalation.
https://www.axios.com/2024/08/04/israel-iran-top-us-general-middle-east-preparation-attack

Writer, podcaster, and commentator on foreign affairs and politics. Runs /dropglobalnews

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Israel could end this before it gets worse... Apologize, retreat, return to diplomacy... I wish they would.

I'm here to build global community. Artist, collector, father and husband, leftist, LGBTQ. Twitter @ OurCoOpFuture. pfp by xeriesjame. Creator of /solidarity

That’s not how any of this works. Iran wants to end Israel and disputes its existence.