harris wang

@lumos-why

238 Following

61 Followers

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The prevailing sentiment within the crypto community is one of profound disappointment, primarily stemming from stagnant altcoin prices and insufficient wealth effects. If we examine the prevalence of scams in crypto projects, the situation hasn't fundamentally changed since the ETH ICO era - what has truly evolved is market liquidity. History shows that innovative narratives coupled with meteoric price surges will inevitably emerge, convincing participants that "this time is different."

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Stocks have volatility, memes have volatility, secondary tokens (those on CEXs) have volatility, and another thing with volatility is "strategies/methods". An investment/trading strategy that remains effective long-term cannot possibly work on every asset. Such strategies are only suitable for specific assets and specific time periods, but crucially, they maintain long-term effectiveness.

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Meme Coin represents a fundamental restructuring of the high-FDV, low-circulation model characteristic of VC-backed coins. The traditional VC-dominated financing model has created a distorted market structure marked by "high valuations and low liquidity," leading to widespread post-TGE price declines. This market configuration has essentially deprived ordinary investors of opportunities for token appreciation, crushing retail investors' crypto dreams of wealth through asset holding.

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少一点消极，少一点极端发言，多一些坚韧，多一些乐观，多一些理性。少一些恶缘，多一些善缘。

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When playing with MEME coins, remember this ironclad logic: Don’t blindly follow the leaders with every coin. For globally consensus-driven hot coins: - It’s acceptable to follow early - Even if leaders have "paper hands" - You don’t need to panic sell with them

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The Meme frenzy will not span the entire market cycle, yet its spillover market vitality will benefit the majority of the crypto ecosystem. The profit-driven nature of hot money dictates that Meme coins cannot sustainably generate wealth effects. When most investors have witnessed the dual nature of short-term wealth explosions and crashes to zero, they will naturally seek more balanced investment targets (leaning toward more risk-averse investors).

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有个重要的方法论，努力观察别人的成功，然后学习。还有个更重要的方法论，努力观察别人的失败，然后避免。每个人都有选择自己人生的权力，不过有一些明显会导致不幸的生活方式，却被非常多的人羡慕甚至追捧和幻想。

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"Should I buy altcoins or Bitcoin with just tens of thousands of RMB?" If your net worth is below A6 (below 100,000 RMB), you shouldn’t even be in the crypto space. What you should do is: 1. Find a stable job. 2. Work diligently and save money. 3. Once you reach A7 (1 million RMB), buy Bitcoin at an appropriate entry point and hold it long-term. Altcoins, meme coins, futures trading, NFTs, and similar speculative assets should never be part of your life choices.

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The most intriguing aspect of this cycle: MEME has been thoroughly deconstructed by "meme coins" cloaked in the guise of "meme" culture. Originally, MEME symbolized a deconstruction, rebellion, and mockery of traditional projects. It carried a countercultural energy that required cultural depth and large-scale community resonance, embodying a "unique and unconventional" ethos. In truth, authentic MEME is even rarer than a well-executed project.

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If it is discovered that a market manipulator (commonly referred to as a "pump-and-dump operator") is accumulating coins on-chain, they will typically scrutinize newly created wallet addresses. The standard verification process involves transferring one token in, then transferring one token out, followed by transferring a specific quantity of tokens to mark the address.

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RFC failed to get listed on Binance at its peak, confirming that Solana’s listing channel has been shut down. It’s evident that Binance is leveraging its dominance as the world’s top exchange to aggressively promote BNB while suppressing other chains. This creates an unfavorable environment for both institutional players and retail investors on Solana. In the era of on-chain VC dominance, VCs must now rethink liquidity exit strategies — if centralized exchange listings are blocked, they’ll have to dump tokens directly onto retail investors through on-chain mechanisms. Consequently, Solana will struggle to cultivate legendary projects, and its growth ceiling will face sustained compression.

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When a trending MEME coin consolidates around a $10M market cap - especially if it breaks $10M for the first time then successfully reclaims that level after a pullback - there's high probability of multi-bagging potential (even 10x+ gains) in subsequent moves. This pattern holds true provided it remains within a trending market sector. Coins like DARK and HOUSE have demonstrated this trajectory repeatedly. For risk-averse traders, waiting for this technical confirmation before entering could be a prudent strategy.

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The emergence of a new hot trend will always drain capital from existing trends. People quickly abandon old projects and rush into new ones. Therefore, from the perspective of maximizing market value and team profits, the best strategy is to cash out the maximum amount during peak FOMO (fear of missing out) periods. Essentially, this becomes a one-shot opportunity.

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不要嫉妒，不要仇恨，不要超前消费，不要借贷，远离不可靠的人，做好该做的事，自然会过得幸福。保持坦诚，理性，耐心，延迟满足感，就会比 95% 的人更容易成功。

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The market has transitioned from "technology supremacy" to "attention supremacy," with Meme Coin becoming the most direct manifestation of this shift. Most technology-driven projects with 3-5 year roadmap delivery cycles can no longer retain market patience for waiting, belief, or commitment. This creates a time window for Meme Coin to attract liquidity through short-term wealth FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) effects.

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The so-called "unexplainable narrative phenomenon" refers to situations where a cryptocurrency pumps in price, yet the community cannot provide any logical explanation, ultimately attributing it to market manipulation or short squeezes. Many recent low-cap altcoin pumps share this characteristic.

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AI in the blockchain space has always been purely meme-driven hype, proving since $FET that the sector requires no real technical foundation: ① Oct 2023: FET launched the 1st wave of AI tokens ② 2nd wave: $TURBO meme-fueled AI frenzy ③ 3rd wave: $GOAT pushing the "AI agent" narrative ④ 4th wave: AI projects backed by a16z capital ⑤ 5th wave: $ZEREBRO framing AI infrastructure Now, as the Dark project emerges, the 6th wave—AI + GameFi—is poised to begin (MCP metric irrelevant; focus on Elon Musk's AI gaming ecosystem).

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平静的大海培养不出优秀的水手

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Many people base their selling decisions on others" opinions - what this or that "expert" says. This approach won"t generate consistent profits long-term. You"ll just end up confused when Expert A says "hold" while Expert B advises "sell" - it becomes mental whiplash with conflicting voices in your head.

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差点以为在白宫吃饭呢

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