harris wang

@lumos-why

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64 Followers

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差点以为在白宫吃饭呢

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Investing is neither a sprint nor a marathon, but rock climbing. The key isn't about who climbs faster, but about securing each foothold properly, ensuring every step is firmly planted to avoid fatal falls. If you never plan to retire, this climb becomes never-ending, where one catastrophic misstep could send you plummeting back to the base at any moment.

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How can platform projects in the AI agent track create value for themselves? One of the most crucial aspects is attracting traditional AI developer communities. How to attract traditional AI developers? By allowing these AI developers to avoid excessive concerns about crypto-related aspects. For instance, AI agent developers can focus on achieving product-market fit without delving into wallet technology, public chains (L1/L2), or token economics - these foundational crypto tools should be provided by the crypto-enabled AI agent platform. Moreover, the platform should establish effective discovery and interoperability mechanisms between AI agents built on it, enabling different AI agents to interact and transact seamlessly, thereby enhancing user experience.

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From meme coins to AI projects, there must have been quite a few people who made $1M USD during the hype, but very few actually managed to keep their profits. The optimal timing would have been to liquidate all on-chain assets immediately after a16z-backed AI projects and Virtuals launched their Binance Futures contracts. Meanwhile, figures like Trump and Milei accelerated the liquidity drain from the market. Those who refused to exit positions lost even more - failing to cut losses would typically result in over 90% losses, which is practically equivalent to being wiped out.

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The essence of meme subculture lies in the resonance of collective emotions and the self-expression of values. To create more meaningful memes, one must identify symbols that can spark genuine resonance. The success of $Doge demonstrates the power of "counter-mainstream narratives". Its enduring vitality stems from three core factors:

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1) Maintain calmness and avoid making emotional decisions. 2) Refrain from doubling down positions during extreme market conditions; prudent observation and patient waiting hold greater significance. 3) Monitor U.S. stock markets and on-chain liquidation data to assess whether the market has stabilized or stopped bleeding. 4) Preserve liquidity by allocating 20-30% of holdings in stablecoins or fiat currency to hedge against black swan events.

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Every major market crash triggered by significant events creates profit opportunities in the crypto space. For instance, when Bitcoin experiences a periodic surge, altcoins often follow with their own phase-specific rallies. However, since 2022, altcoins have shifted away from the "universal rally" logic. Instead, each market uptrend has been driven by sector-specific narratives, such as: - Ethereum’s transition to PoS, - Ethereum staking narratives, - Public chain ecosystems, - MEME coins, AI tokens, and RWA (Real World Assets) trends, etc. Moving forward, this pattern will likely persist. The key takeaway is to avoid holding onto current hot altcoins for the long term—this minimizes your risk of losses.

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Essentially, I believe crypto has evolved into a form of "gamified finance." The current model shares several key similarities with esports: - PVP (a term borrowed from gaming, right?) - Memes and cultural attributes are amplified, barriers to entry are gradually lowered, and spontaneous subcultures occasionally emerge (e.g., "trenches," "cooking"). - Fast-paced and youth-oriented - Strong positive/negative feedback loops with high addictive potential - Built-in achievement systems (e.g., Axie Infinity rankings, Kaito leaderboards, project leaderboards, etc.) This is truly "Earth Online."

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听我说，别的小猫都不吃鱼

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From the perspective of project teams, there are too few genuine builders in this market. For traders, very few can actually profit from live trading. Many KOLs are actually quite financially constrained and struggle to make real money.

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The essence of meme coins has fundamentally diverged from traditional investment behavior. Those who purchase memes based on K-line charts, technical indicators, or investment metrics likely constitute a minority. Instead, the driving forces are predominantly narratives, viral potential, and the influence of market hype campaigns. Doesn't this make meme trading resemble product marketing for consumer goods? Much like gambling on blind boxes hoping to unveil limited-edition collectibles, meme speculation bets on the viral proliferation of its cultural IP. Success brings profits through widespread adoption, while failure results in losses - a zero-sum game of cultural contagion.

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明天放假，今天先看看猫

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The market has entered a phase of utter despair - on-chain ecosystems have collapsed, altcoins in secondary markets have crashed, and the next phase will likely see core assets affected. If U.S. stocks continue to decline, Bitcoin will eventually follow suit.

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For merchants (i.e., meme coin project developers or teams), paying high advertising fees to top KOLs mainly targets purchases from their fan base. Therefore, the focus should be on identifying KOLs with affluent follower groups - specifically those who have recently successfully promoted coins and helped their followers profit.

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The essence of memes is traffic-driven media. From Trump and Musk to various Web2 celebrities or KOLs (Key Opinion Leaders), they are essentially high-influence individuals monetizing their traffic. This traffic consists of two components: Credit and hype. Credit attributes backed by political or strong commercial endorsements carry significant weight - similar to how fiat currencies derive their value from government credit backing. In meme coin marketing strategies, Credit-based purchasing power should take priority over hype. However, most cryptocurrency issuers/promoters and the coins they launch primarily emphasize hype over substantial Credit foundations.

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Pumpfun has established a new token issuance standard. By definition as an industry standard, there can only be one. A single blockchain cannot accommodate two competing standards. This is why other copycat projects on Solana have failed to gain traction.

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🕹️ 页面更新了，可玩

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Whether a blockchain ecosystem thrives nowadays largely depends on how high its MEME coin ceiling can reach. However, truly groundbreaking ceilings always emerge from global collective consensus. This explains why BSC's growth trajectory has been so challenging - there's inherent logic behind it. That said, BNB remains fundamentally strong; it's crucial to distinguish BNB from the BSC ecosystem itself. This is why critics point out that BSC hasn't yet produced a single $1B MEME project. Truthfully, this isn't BSC's failing. We aspire for more, but reality dictates this is its current evolutionary stage.

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别说话🤫我在思考🤔

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1. The "BNB listing effect" has weakened (whether in alpha, futures, or spot markets). Hot money on BSC (Binance Smart Chain) will decrease, making meme coins less viable. 2. After a two-month period of inactivity, Solana will see a resurgence of hot money inflow (likely driven by new projects rapidly reaching $100M market caps). 3. The BNB ecosystem will leverage wallet-led IDOs to launch low-market-cap project tokens (TGEs), creating strong profit potential.

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