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💣 APRIL 2 TARIFF SCENARIOS: TRADE WAR GAMBIT
Latest Intel:
Softening Hints: Trump says tariffs "targeted" (exempt allies, cars/chips spared).
Bear Trap: Leaks suggest 15% of US trade volume hit (steel/aluminum NOT safe).
Global Revenge: EU preps sanctions, Canada runs anti-tariff ads in US swing states.
Outcome Bets:
BULL CASE (30% odds): Light tariffs (China only, low rates).
Market Reaction: SPY/QQQ +10%, BTC rips to $75k, USD dumps. Risk-on party. 🚀
NEUTRAL (50% odds): Phased rollout, "negotiation window" copium.
Market Reaction: VIX explodes, stablecoins pump, alts bleed. Max pain chop. ⚡
BEAR CASE (20% odds): Full 25% tariffs, global retaliation.
Market Reaction: SPY -10%, BTC tests $60k, DXY to 105. Crypto winter 2.0. ❄️ 1 reply
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