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LEVIN  šŸŽ© pfp
LEVIN šŸŽ©
@levingood
šŸ“ˆ In-Depth Analysis: Trump's New Tariff Policy and Bitcoin Market Dynamics Policy Background On April 10, former U.S. President Donald Trump proposed a "differentiated tariff policy": imposing 125% punitive tariffs on select countries while suspending high tariffs for 90 days (retaining only a 10% baseline tariff) for compliant nations. The market interprets this as a political strategy to "reshape global trade patterns." Market Logic Breakdown 1ļøāƒ£ Safe-Haven Asset Value Highlighted • Escalating tariff disputes heighten risks to U.S. dollar credibility, driving institutional allocations to Bitcoin as a non-sovereign hedge. • While gold and Bitcoin both rose, Bitcoin’s single-day 8% surge significantly outperformed traditional safe-haven assets.
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LEVIN  šŸŽ© pfp
LEVIN šŸŽ©
@levingood
2ļøāƒ£ Monetary Policy Expectations • High tariffs may exacerbate U.S. inflationary pressures, forcing the Fed to delay balance sheet reduction. • Crypto analyst Arthur Hayes predicts: Global central banks may restart QE in 2024, with Bitcoin becoming a primary liquidity overflow beneficiary.
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LEVIN  šŸŽ© pfp
LEVIN šŸŽ©
@levingood
3ļøāƒ£ Accelerated Regulatory Compliance • Policy uncertainty fuels cross-border capital flows through compliant crypto channels (e.g., BiyaPay). • USDT-based direct trading of U.S./Hong Kong stocks saw a 37% weekly volume increase, reflecting避险 demand. Data Insights & Strategic Recommendations • On-Chain Data: 21,000 BTC net outflow from exchanges in 7 days; whale address holdings hit yearly highs. • Technical Analysis: $83,000 is a critical psychological threshold. A weekly close above could signal further upside. • Risk Alert: Tariff policy implementation remains uncertain; monitor short-term volatility risks. Institutional Perspectives ā–«ļø Morgan Stanley: Geopolitical tensions + monetary policy shifts create long-term crypto tailwinds. ā–«ļø Glassnode: Bitcoin’s path to 132 , 000 i n 2024 r e q u i r e s b r e a k i n g t h e 132,000in2024requiresbreakingthe90,000 resistance. ā–«ļø Bloomberg: A Trump election win could propel Bitcoin as a "new reserve asset" via policy synergy.
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