✳️ dcposch on daimo pfp
✳️ dcposch on daimo
@dcposch.eth
They’ve been consistently early and right. Polymarket had Biden 25% to drop out months ago, while the media sheep herd started talking about it only after last week
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Lauren McDonagh-Pereira  pfp
Lauren McDonagh-Pereira
@lampphotography
What else are they predicting?
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Elie pfp
Elie
@elie
25% of drop out isn’t exactly a prediction that someone is dropping out. I’d say it’s the reverse if anything. Betting markets have existed forever. Polymarket just makes it easier for people in crypto.
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Lauren McDonagh-Pereira  pfp
Lauren McDonagh-Pereira
@lampphotography
25% a lot of confidence when no one has ever dropped out this last before.
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Elie pfp
Elie
@elie
I guess. Here’s the actual chart for this btw. Odds were at 10% a few weeks ago. But I don’t think you can read into it too much. Other than this is what the market thought.
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Elie pfp
Elie
@elie
Btw the odds of him dropping out only dropped a tonne on polymarket in the last week or so. The debate is what caused the huge drop.
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