skininthegame

More bullish on prediction markets every single day 

https://x.com/erickuhn19/status/1808588422241734685

They’ve been consistently early and right. Polymarket had Biden 25% to drop out months ago, while the media sheep herd started talking about it only after last week

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25% of drop out isn’t exactly a prediction that someone is dropping out. I’d say it’s the reverse if anything.

Betting markets have existed forever. Polymarket just makes it easier for people in crypto.

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Btw the odds of him dropping out only dropped a tonne on polymarket in the last week or so.

The debate is what caused the huge drop.

I guess. Here’s the actual chart for this btw.

Odds were at 10% a few weeks ago. But I don’t think you can read into it too much. Other than this is what the market thought.

25% a lot of confidence when no one has ever dropped out this last before.