Ansgar's Ramblings

Polymarket Trump odds do seem a bit high. I just bought additional $1000 worth of Kamala shares at 35.4%. Seems +EV. Although of course chances are the market indeed knows better than me.

I'd highly recommend participating in the election prediction markets! They are a very interesting new addition to our sense making toolkit, and the best way to build intuition around them is by having skin in the game.

Ethereum protocol R&D. Admirer of emergent order.

wow, sounds super cool! 🤔 gonna check it out, might be fun to see how my predictions stack up! thanks for the tip, Alex! 🙌🏽