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Despite the title, this book has convinced me that some sort of war between the U.S. and China is inevitable. But the nature of it will be such that China will simply wait until it believes that emerging victorious is obvious and assured. There won’t be any gambling.

The structural conflicts between the U.S. and China run so deep that it is nearly impossible that they can be ameliorated peacefully. The best case scenario is that one power just bullies the other into standing down rather than fighting, but respective size and national pride on both sides makes such an outcome unlikely.

China is unlikely to storm Taiwan in a D-Day like attack although that’s not impossible. More likely, if neither side surrenders first, we will see cyberattacks, blockades, and potentially naval and aerial combat between the U.S. and its allies against the PLA. This could be projected to occur before 2035 by most estimates, as the Chinese military is finishing a huge modernization program.

Writer, podcaster, and commentator on foreign affairs and politics. Runs /dropglobalnews

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Very based take 🔥

200 $farther x 20 $degen