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John Grant

@jlg

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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
How long before LLMs, particularly those trained on synthetic data, start to label the field of anthro-complexity as 'Nuancology'?
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
Problematise: Abstract optimism without a roadmap is just wishful thinking.
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
Interesting read. But the r2 values 0.32~0.44 indicate there's something amiss, right? Might suggest that human-AI interactions aren't following deterministic patterns. They're emergent and context-specific instead https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/publication/the-impact-of-generative-ai-on-critical-thinking-self-reported-reductions-in-cognitive-effort-and-confidence-effects-from-a-survey-of-knowledge-workers/
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
"… the persistent weirdness of our times. One in which we get free AI from a hedge fund and $200 a month AI from a nonprofit …" https://www.youtube.com/live/zdy9K4UWplM?si=HUN6Qb6Fx3UWFzBG&t=1164
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
Topic hackers of the world, unite!
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
Anyone familiar with the Strategy Evaluation Protocol (SEP)? I'm looking for some pointers or examples of how SEP is currently being used to support Open Science.
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
From a certain perspective, Open WebUI looks like a mashup between a terminal emulator and a web browser. But I suspect there’s more to it. I think this might be a nascent form of what the next generation of operating systems will look and feel like.
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
Suprematism?
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
I wonder if this type of development has actually been more prevalent in Europe. This question would make for an interesting side project
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
I like the on-the-nose vs oblique perspective. However, numerous exceptions exist. For example, the complexity of CERN's research led to the development of the WWW and Boisot's I-Space. And I-Space led to the development of Cynefin and Wardley maps.
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
Hehe https://x.com/realgeorgehotz/status/1881221715570901039
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
“OpenAI's o3 finds a polynomial time factoring algorithm, none of your crypto assets are safe” https://x.com/realgeorgehotz/status/1881142120171626867
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
Just as the switch from vacuum tubes to transistors made many cooling problems irrelevant, algorithmic breakthroughs could make the geographic distribution of energy-intensive hardware less of a competitive issue. Focusing on education and software engineering expertise could increase the rate of AI innovation while reducing energy consumption. In other words, China's advantage may lie in its massive pool of engineers working on algorithmic efficiency.
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
I'm finding Jensen Huang's presentations more entertaining than recent Netflix sci-fi output. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k82RwXqZHY8
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
Should Elon Musk succeed in triggering a sovereign debt crisis, he's well positioned to lobby for X to be the default CBDC platform.
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
Any sufficiently reductionist explanation is indistinguishable from superstition.
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
>"Our collective performance last year was not among our best, with five wrong answers. Following polling at the time, we discounted Trump’s re-election chances. Japanese interest rates did rise above zero; investors didn’t move back into bonds as expected; X didn’t go bankrupt; and there was no deal, yet, to return the Parthenon marbles to Greece. Single minds, it seems, can sometimes beat 20: two entrants to our reader competition got all 20 questions right, and the overall winner, Ercole Durini of London, was even spot on with the tiebreaker." https://www.ft.com/content/ac44e3a5-36ee-4cf8-af57-06a1ba51baa4
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
Social networks can produce emergent behaviours and unintended consequences. Unlike Fourier transforms, I don't believe it is possible to meaningfully decompose human systems into predictable components. How could frequency-based protocol approaches account for emergent properties?
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John Grant pfp
John Grant
@jlg
The invisible hand metaphor works only if everyone has perfect information and there are no externalities.
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John Grant
@jlg
>"But what would be necessary to have your “own Cloudflare” thing you can run once and then run all your cool mini CGI like scripts above? We miss some necessary protocols. Yet building these protocols is tricky because you target often the least common denominator. ... Don't need any new innovative technology here, but you need the social contract and the mindset. Those are hard things, they require dedication and marketing. I have not yet seen that, but I'm somewhat confident that we might see it." https://lucumr.pocoo.org/2024/6/26/what-is-self-hosted/
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