Potential Risks That Could Have Severe Negative Impacts

#1 Harris Wins with an Anti-Crypto Stance (Probability: 40-50%)

#2 Collapse of Crypto-Native Market Players (Probability: 80-90%)

#3 Economic Recession and Unfavorable Macro Conditions (Probability: 20-30%)

#4 Heightened Geopolitical Risks and Conflicts (Probability: 20-30%)

#5 NASDAQ & M7 Stocks Outperforming Crypto, Leading to Reduced Interest and Capital Inflow to Cryto (Probability: 70-80%)

#6 Economic Crisis in China or Other Non-US Countries Triggering a Global Financial Crisis (Probability: 20-30%)

What else are we missing? 

I still believe we are in the middle of a cycle. However, considering the risks mentioned above, it’s crucial to manage exposure carefully rather than going all-in on crypto or using excessive leverage. 

US growth stocks currently offer a better risk/reward profile compared to most alts imo