Indexed Podcast

NEW EPISODE IS OUT 🚨 This time all about the current state of SocialFi: friendtech, Polymarket, Fantasy & more 👥

YouTube: youtu.be/yYUoyttlwrA
Spotify: sptfy.com/QU7V

data @ op labs, building @optimism 🔴✨ | go /gators 🐊  | casts are my own things | msilb7.com

its from this really good superchain analyst

This is the alt account of Sister Hazel. Writings at https://powerlaw.systems. Building https://testnet.uvio.network. 

i assumption it's within users' interest to bet on what they believe is most likely. the market is often wrong on outcomes, but that's attributed to lack of info/uncertainty/evolving situations

are there external motives that would warrant making clearly loosing bets? there's misleading others but that's costly

Maybe I missed it, but is there a way to have a graph/query for Polymarket's efficacy?

I would love to see how right or how wrong all of those markets tend to be over time.

We should somehow understand if prediction markets do in fact predict an outcome, or if it is all random after all.