I’m not concerned AI will achieve superiority over good developers any time soon, but I am concerned it’ll get *perceived* superiority. In many ways, it already has.

The common narrative will be to lay off 95% of your engineers and “replace” them with agents. Those companies will still be able to ship software, but it’ll be a flimsy and poorly constructed shell of what it was meant to be.

Demand for engineers will plummet, because why hire one when anyone can supposedly vibe code the product for you?

The engineers that keep their jobs will work for pennies on the dollar and be expected to let AI write 100% of their code. Companies will show off the % of code AI writes for them (they already do), as if it’s some inherently good metric.

Corporate won’t notice the decay, they’ll be too busy drooling over their skyrocketing stock prices. Slowly, then quickly, every software product will turn to slop. Slop that’s crudely optimized for capturing human attention rather than human potential

That’s kind of my point. These models clearly can’t reason yet the dominant narrative is that they can. They clearly can’t build apps yet everyone claims they do. They’re clearly not ready to replace employees but soon everyone will claim they are.

gpt struggled to spell strawberry until recently

I think we’re good