finance

The market is now pricing in a 50% chance of a US recession by June 2025.

The percentage has more than doubled over the last month and is up from just 10% in July

🇧🇷🇺🇸-  Book: Making Things Think: https://holloway.com/mtt. Investor in Wander, Carry, Footprint, Merkle Manufactory (Farcaster), Dynamic, Paragraph.

BDFL of Quilibrium, Eng @ Farcaster, ex-Coinbase, always opinionated, never hydrated

/quilibrium

I agree, but will see because it depends on the government to label it

I expect: sooner, retroactively labeled, worse

also wondering what’s driving this and whether the fed’s rate cut has been priced in

Who needs to stress over following a  news blog when you’ve got Giu on Farcaster :)

Where do you get your updates, giu?