Second question re Biden

What changed in 16 days?

Second question re Biden

What changed in 16 days?

https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1809310761933525304

Do you read Nate Silver’s newsletters?

Seems like you’d enjoy it.

The answer is simpler than many imagine. 

He was pressured to drop out within these 16 days. 

Had there been no pressure, there’d be no dropping out.

Pressure increased, he succumbed, realizing his chance of winning was close to 0, and that Democrats would keep embarrassing him more and more.

It sounds like hindsight, but I think it was pretty inevitable, as long as more and more pressure built.

Building /farconic with my brother Yoni | yoniishappy.com | gilalter.com

It’s not polling that changed his mind, neither his family (Hunter & Jill encouraged him)

But the Democratic Elite has leverage that they used to get him out of the race. 

He could’ve stayed, but he reached the point where he decided the risk/reward wasn’t there.

I.e. he accepted his chances were not great anyway, and would he even worse (and were actively getting worse) because of the Democrat’s Pressure campaign 

Of course, other factors also go into Biden’s risk assessment e.g. 
legacy.

I do read Nate Silver's newsletters.

I don't think we have all the information yet as to what happened. Biden was pretty adamant about staying in the race. I doubt polling changed his mind.