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TaylorWebb.eth ā“‚ļøšŸ¤˜ pfp
TaylorWebb.eth ā“‚ļøšŸ¤˜
@taylorwebb.eth
gm ā˜• Iā€™ve been investing in the Web3 space for over 9 years now, and want to share what Iā€™ve learned and how I invest. You guys already know Iā€™m very bullish on Moxie - this thread isnā€™t about Moxie, its about investing in Web3 projects in general. None of this is financial advice, Iā€™m simply sharing what Iā€™ve learned and what has worked for me. šŸ§µšŸ‘‡
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TaylorWebb.eth ā“‚ļøšŸ¤˜ pfp
TaylorWebb.eth ā“‚ļøšŸ¤˜
@taylorwebb.eth
1/ Donā€™t trade I define trading as buying and selling on a short time horizon - hours, day, weeks - trying to time the market price changes. IMO price movements in the short term are just noise, and canā€™t be predicted any more accurately than a coin toss. Now add trading fees to the equation and it becomes obvious that the average trader loses money - its a negative-sum game. This why I have zero FOMO about all the memecoin mania happening on Solana. Sure, there are some people making lots of money, but most are probably losing. Itā€™s a casino. On average the casino wins, not the gambler.
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FreytradesšŸŽ©šŸ“ˆ pfp
FreytradesšŸŽ©šŸ“ˆ
@freymon.eth
well i agree with this but i wont say donā€™t trade, ill say donā€™t trade only if you donā€™t know what you are doing or to phrase it better if you donā€™t have the right mindset/belief for it. You are most definitely correct when you say trading is gambling when you narrow it down to a single trade, itā€™s all just probabilities and you can never be sure about a trade itā€™s not possible (thatā€™s why you need an edge) there is a RANDOM distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables (mathematical models) that define an edge and an edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another
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FreytradesšŸŽ©šŸ“ˆ pfp
FreytradesšŸŽ©šŸ“ˆ
@freymon.eth
well what all my yapping boils down to (and this is only talking about your no1) is with the right set of models, edge and a probabilistic mindset, you can overcome the no1 advice/rule of ā€œDONā€™T TRADEā€
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