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Finally, let's confirm with Action. Action tells us more bets are being placed on Kansas. "Total bets" indicates small fish or the public. Ideally, we want to follow "big bets," or in this case, it would be "total money." You need to subscribe to Action Pro to unlock that feature, but there's another way to tell.
If this line had moved out of Kansas's favor to -6 or -5, despite the total bets remaining in favor of Kansas, we would have known that big money was betting on UNLV to push the line down. The line adjusts to money, not total bets. This phenomenon is called "reverse line movement," and it's the best way to "fade the public." It aligns your money with "smart" whales who have an "edge" and are risking a lot of money to confirm their edge. There is no reverse line movement in this game, so we do not have a third positive signal. UNLV is probably worth a small bet, but I'll stay away and risk more on teams that check positive on the 3 signals I detail above. 2 replies
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